Recall that Blades has tentatively decided to establish a subsidiary in Thailand to manufacture roller blades. The new plant will be utilized to produce Speedos, Blades’ primary product. Once the subsidiary has been established in Thailand, it will continue to operate for 10 years, at which time it is expected to be sold. Ben Blades, Inc. Case Assessment of Cost of Capital Holt, Blades’ chief financial officer, believes the growth potential in Thailand will be extremely high over the next few years. However, his optimism is not shared by most economic forecasters, who predict a slow recovery of the Thai economy, which has been very negatively affected by recent events in that country. Furthermore, forecasts for the future value of the baht indicate that the currency may continue to depreciate over the next few years. Despite the pessimistic forecasts, Holt believes Thailand is a good international target for Blades’ products because of the high growth potential and lack of competitors in Thailand. At a recent meeting of the company’s board of directors, Holt presented his capital budgeting analysis and pointed out that the establishment of a subsidiary in Thailand had a net present value (NPV) of more than $8 million even when a 25 percent required rate of return was used to discount the cash flows resulting from the project. Blades’ board of directors, although warm toward the idea of international expansion, remained skeptical. Specifically, the directors wondered where Holt obtained the 25 percent discount rate to conduct his capital budgeting analysis and whether this discount rate was high enough. Consequently, the decision to establish a subsidiary in Thailand has been delayed until the directors’ meeting next month. The directors also asked Holt to determine how operating a subsidiary in Thailand would affect Blades’ required rate of return and its cost of capital. The directors would like to know how Blades’ characteristics would affect its cost of capital relative to roller blades manufacturers operating solely in the United States. Furthermore, the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) was mentioned by two directors, who would like to know how Blades’ systematic risk would be affected by the proposed expansion into Thailand. Another issue that was raised is how the cost of debt and equity in Thailand differ from the corresponding costs in the United States and whether these differences would affect Blades’ cost of capital. The last issue that was raised during the meeting was whether Blades’ capital structure would be affected by expanding into Thailand. The directors have asked Holt to conduct a thorough analysis of these issues and report back to them at their next meeting. Holt’s knowledge of cost of capital and capital structure decisions is somewhat limited, and he requires your help. You are a financial analyst for Blades, Inc. Holt has gathered some information regarding Blades’ characteristics that distinguish it from roller blades manufacturers operating solely in the United States, its systematic risk, and the costs of debt and equity in Thailand, and he wants to know whether and how this information will affect Blades’ cost of capital and its capital structure decision. Regarding Blades’ characteristics, Holt has gathered information regarding Blades’ size, its access to the Thaicapital markets, its diversification benefits from a Thai expansion, its exposure to exchange rate risk, and its exposure to country risk. Although Blades’ expansion into Thailand classifies the company as an MNC, Blades is still relatively small compared to other U.S. roller blades manufacturers. Also, Blades’ expansion into Thailand will give it access to the capital and money markets there. However, negotiations with various commercial banks in Thailand indicate that Blades will have to borrow funds at interest rates of approximately 15 percent, versus 8 percent in the United States. Expanding into Thailand will diversify Blades’ operations. As a result of this expansion, the firm would become subject to economic conditions in Thailand as well as in the United States. Holt sees this as a major advantage because Blades’ cash flows would no longer be solely dependent on the U.S. economy. Consequently, he believes that the project would reduce Blades’ probability of bankruptcy. Nevertheless, if Blades establishes a subsidiary in Thailand, all of the subsidiary’s earnings will be remitted back to the U.S. parent, which would create a high level of exchange rate risk. This risk is of particular concern because current economic forecasts for Thailand indicate that the baht will depreciate over the next few years. Furthermore, Holt has already conducted a country risk analysis for Thailand that resulted in an unfavorable country risk rating. Regarding Blades’ level of systematic risk, Holt has determined how the establishment of a subsidiary in Thailand would affect Blades’ beta, which measures systematic risk. Specifically, he believes that Blades’ beta would drop from its current level of 2.0 to 1.8 because the firm’s exposure to U.S. market conditions would be reduced by its expansion into Thailand. Moreover, Holt estimates that the risk-free interest rate is 5 percent and the required return on the market is 12 percent. Holt has also determined that the costs of both debt and equity are higher in Thailand than in the United States. Lenders such as commercial banks in Thailand require interest rates higher than U.S. rates. This difference is partially attributed to a higher risk premium, which reflects the larger degree of economic uncertainty in Thailand. The cost of equity is also higher in Thailand than in the United States. Thailand is not as developed as the United States in many ways, and various investment opportunities are available to Thai investors, which increases the opportunity cost. However, Holt is not sure that this higher cost of equity in Thailand would affect Blades, as all of Blades’ shareholders are located in the United States. Holt has asked you to analyze this information and to determine how it may affect Blades’ cost of capital and its capital structure. To help you in your analysis, he would like you to provide answers to the following questions: 1. If Blades expands into Thailand, do you think its cost of capital will be higher or lower than the cost of capital of roller blades manufacturers operating solely in the United States? Substantiate your answer by outlining how Blades’ characteristics distinguish it from domestic roller blades manufacturers. 2. According to the CAPM, how would Blades’ required rate of return be affected by an expansion into Thailand? How do you reconcile this result with your answer to question 1? Do you think Blades should use the required rate of return resulting from the CAPM to discount the cash flows of the Thai subsidiary to determine its NPV? 3. If Blades borrows funds in Thailand to support its Thai subsidiary, how would this affect its cost of capital? Why? 4. Given the high level of interest rates in Thailand, the high level of exchange rate risk, and the high (perceived) level of country risk, do you think Blades will be more or less likely to use debt in its capital structure as a result of its expansion into Thailand? Why?
> Reese Co. will pay 1 million British pounds for materials imported from the United Kingdom in one month. This firm also sells some goods to Poland and will receive 3 million zloty (the Polish currency) for those goods in one month. The spot rate of the p
> Yazoo, Inc., is a U.S. firm that has substantial international business in Japan and has cash inflows in Japanese yen. The spot rate of the yen today is $0.01. The yen exchange rate was $0.008 three months ago, $0.0085 two months ago, and $0.009 one mont
> Quartz Co. has its entire operations in Miami, Florida, and is an exporter of products to eurozone countries. All of its earnings are derived from its exports. The exports are denominated in euros. Reed Co., a U.S.-based firm, is approximately the same s
> Layton Co., a U.S. firm, attempts to determine its economic exposure to movements in the Japanese yen by applying regression analysis to data over the last 36 quarters: where SP represents the percentage change in Layton’s stock price
> Lance Co. is a U.S. company that has exposure to the Swiss franc (SF) and the Danish krone (DK). It has net inflows of SF100 million and net outflows of DK500 million. The present exchange rate of the SF is approximately $0.80, and the present exchange r
> Blades, Inc., has recently decided to establish a subsidiary in Thailand to produce Speedos, its primary roller blades product. In establishing the subsidiary in Blades, Inc. Case Assessment of International Trade Financing in Thailand Thailato acquiring
> Layton Co., a U.S. firm, attempts to determine its economic exposure to movements in the Japanese yen by applying regression analysis to data over the last 36 quarters: where SP represents the percentage change in Layton’s stock price p
> Maine Co., a U.S. firm, measures its economic exposure to movements in the British pound by applying regression analysis to data over the last 36 quarters: where SP represents the percentage change in Maine’s stock price per quarter, e
> Kopetsky Co. has net receivables in several currencies that are highly correlated with each other. What does this imply about the firm’s overall degree of transaction exposure? Are currency correlations perfectly stable over time? What does your answer i
> Harz Co., a U.S. firm, has an arrangement with a Chinese company in which it purchases products from this supplier every week at the prevailing spot rate, and then sells the products in the United States invoiced in dollars. All of its competition is fro
> Minnesota Co. is a U.S. firm that exports computer parts to Japan. Its main competition is from firms that are based in Japan, which invoice their products in yen. In contrast, Minnesota’s exports are invoiced in U.S. dollars. The prices charged by Minne
> Assume the euro’s spot rate is presently equal to $1.00. All of the following firms are based in New York and are the same size. Although these firms concentrate on business in the United States, their entire foreign operations for this quarter are provi
> Spratt Co. (a U.S. firm) attempts to determine its economic exposure to movements in the British pound by applying regression analysis to data over the last 36 quarters: SP b b e 5 10 1 1 m where SP represents the percentage change in Spratt’s stock pric
> The Hong Kong dollar (HK$) is presently pegged to the U.S. dollar and is expected to remain pegged. Some Hong Kong firms export products to Australia that are denominated in Australian dollars and have no other business in Australia. The exports are not
> Kanab Co. and Zion Co. are U.S. companies of approximately the same size that engage in much business within the United States. Both conduct some international business as well. Kanab Co. has a subsidiary in Canada that will generate earnings of approxim
> You use today’s spot rate of the Brazilian real to forecast the spot rate of the real for one month ahead. Today’s spot rate is $0.4558. Use the VaR method to determine the maximum percentage loss of the Brazilian real over the next month based on a 95 p
> Long-Term Financing Decision by the Sports Exports CompanyThe Sports Exports Company continues to focus on producing footballs in the United States and exporting them to the United Kingdom. Its exports are denominated in pounds, which has continually exp
> The Central Bank of Poland is about to engage in indirect intervention later today, by which it will lower Poland’s interest rates substantially. This will have an impact on the value of the Polish currency (zloty) against most currencies because it will
> Each of the following U.S. firms is expected to generate $40 million in net cash flows (after including the estimated cash flows from international sales, if there are any) over the next year. Ignore any tax effects. Each firm has the same level of expec
> Zemart is a U.S. firm that plans to establish an international business in which it will export goods to Mexico (these exports will be denominated in pesos) and to Canada (these exports will be denominated in Canadian dollars) once a month and, therefore
> What factors affect a firm’s degree of transaction exposure in a particular currency? For each factor, explain the desirable characteristics that would reduce transaction exposure.
> Assume that the Mexican peso and the Brazilian currency (the real) have depreciated against the U.S. dollar recently due to the high inflation rates in those countries. Assume that inflation in these two countries is expected to continue and that it will
> Washington Co. and Vermont Co. have no domestic business. Both have a similar dollar equivalent amount of international exporting business. Washington Co. exports all of its products to Canada, whereas Vermont Co. exports its products to Poland and Mexic
> Raton Co. is a U.S. company that has net inflows of 100 million Swiss francs and net outflows of 100 million British pounds. The present exchange rate of the Swiss franc is approximately $0.70 and the present exchange rate of the pound is $1.90. Raton Co
> Celtic Co. is a U.S. firm that exports its products to England. It faces competition from many firms in England. Its prices to customers in England have generally been lower than those of the U.K. competitors, primarily because the British pound has been
> In 2016, the United Kingdom decided to leave the European Union (a decision referred to as Brexit). Many analysts have made arguments about how this event will affect firms in the United Kingdom. Assume that the pound’s value relative to the euro is like
> Cornhusker Co. is an exporter of products to Singapore. It wants to know how its stock price is affected by changes in the Singapore dollar’s exchange rate. The firm believes that the impact may occur with a lag of one to three quarters. How could regres
> Recall that Blades, Inc., is considering the establishment of a subsidiary in Thailand to manufacture Speedos, Blades’ primary roller blades product. Alternatively, Blades could acquire an existing manufacturer of roller blades in Thail
> The Walt Disney Company built an amusement park in France that opened in 1992. How do you think this project has affected Disney’s economic exposure to exchange rate movements? Think carefully before you give your final answer. There is more than one way
> Using the cost and revenue information shown for DeKalb, Inc., determine how the costs, revenue, and cash flow items would be affected by three possible exchange rate scenarios for the New Zealand dollar ( ) NZ$ : (1)Â NZ$ $ 5 0.50, (2) NZ$ $
> Vegas Corp. is a U.S. firm that exports most of its products to Canada. Historically, the firm invoiced its products in Canadian dollars to accommodate the importers. However, it was adversely affected when the Canadian dollar weakened against the U.S. d
> a. How can a U.S. company use regression analysis to assess its economic exposure to fluctuations in the British pound? b. In using regression analysis to assess the sensitivity of cash flows to exchange rate movements, what is the purpose of breaking
> Your employer, a large MNC, has asked you to assess its transaction exposure. Its projected cash flows are as follows for the next year: Danish krone inflows equal DK50,000,000, while outflows equal DK40,000,000; British pound inflows equal £2,000,000, w
> Erie Co. has most of its business in the United States, but exports some products to Belgium. Its exports were invoiced in euros (Belgium’s currency) last year. The firm has no other economic exposure to exchange rate risk. Its main competition when sell
> Periodically, rumors swirl that China will weaken its currency (the yuan) against the U.S. dollar and many European currencies. This causes investors to sell stocks in Asian countries such as Japan, Taiwan, and Singapore. Offer an intuitive explanation f
> Cieplak, Inc., is a U.S.-based MNC that has expanded into Asia. Its U.S. parent exports goods to some Asian countries, with its exports denominated in the Asian currencies. It also has a large subsidiary in Malaysia that serves that market. Offer at leas
> Toyota Motor Corp. measures the sensitivity of its exports to the yen exchange rate (relative to the U.S. dollar). Explain how regression analysis could be used for such a task. Identify the expected sign of the regression coefficient if Toyota primarily
> Boulder, Inc., exports chairs to Europe (invoiced in U.S. dollars) and competes against local European companies. If purchasing power parity exists, why would Boulder not benefit from a stronger euro?
> The Sports Exports Company has considered a variety of projects, but all of its business is still in the United Kingdom. Because most of its business comes from exporting footballs (with revenues being denominated in pounds), it remains exposed to exchan
> Sooner Co. is a U.S. wholesale company that imports expensive, highquality luggage and sells it to retail stores around the United States. Its main competitors also import high-quality luggage and sell it to retail stores. None of these competitors hedge
> Lubbock, Inc., produces furniture and has no international business. Its major competitors import most of their furniture from Brazil and then sell it out of retail stores in the United States. How will Lubbock be affected if Brazil’s currency (the real)
> Longhorn Co. produces hospital equipment. Most of its revenues are in the United States. About half of its expenses require outflows in Philippine pesos (to pay for materials obtained in the Philippines). Most of Longhorn’s competition is from U.S. firms
> Aggie Co. produces chemicals. It is a major exporter to Europe, where its main competition is from other U.S. exporters. All of these companies invoice their products in U.S. dollars. Is Aggie’s transaction exposure likely to be significantly affected if
> Consider a period in which the U.S. dollar weakens against the euro. How will this affect the reported earnings of a U.S.-based MNC with European subsidiaries? Consider a period in which the U.S. dollar strengthens against most foreign currencies. How wi
> Compare and contrast transaction exposure and economic exposure. Why would an MNC consider examining only its “net” cash flows in each currency when assessing its transaction exposure?
> Lexington Co. is a U.S.- based MNC with subsidiaries in most major countries. Each subsidiary is responsible for forecasting the future exchange rate of its local currency relative to the U.S. dollar. Comment on this policy. How might Lexington Co. ensur
> Syracuse Corp. believes that future real interest rate movements will affect exchange rates, and it has applied regression analysis to historical data to assess this relationship. It will use regression coefficients derived from this analysis along with
> You are hired as a consultant to assess a firm’s ability to forecast. The firm has developed a point forecast for two different currencies presented in the following table. The firm asks you to determine which currency was forecasted wi
> Explain how to assess performance in forecasting exchange rates. Explain how to detect a bias in forecasting exchange rates.
> Explain the mixed technique for forecasting exchange rates.
> Explain the market-based approach to forecasting exchange rates. What is the rationale for using market-based forecasts? If the euro appreciates substantially against the dollar during a specific period, would market-based forecasts have overestimated or
> The prevailing one-year risk-free interest rate in Argentina is higher than the interest rate in the United States and will continue to be higher over time. Sycamore Co. believes the international Fisher effect can be used to derive the best forecast of
> Assume that interest rate parity exists. The one-year risk-free interest rate in the United States is 3 percent versus 16 percent in Singapore. You believe in purchasing power parity, and you also believe that Singapore will experience a 2 percent inflat
> Assume that interest rate parity exists and it will continue to exist in the future. Kentucky Co. wants to forecast the value of the Japanese yen in one month. The Japanese interest rate is lower than the U.S. interest rate. Kentucky Co. will use either
> Assume that interest rate parity exists. One year ago, the spot rate of the euro was $1.40, whereas the spot rate of the Japanese yen was $0.01. At that time, the one-year interest rate of the euro and the Japanese yen was 3 percent, compared to 7 percen
> Explain the fundamental approach to forecasting exchange rates. What are some limitations of using a fundamental technique to forecast these rates?
> Assume that interest rate parity exists. Today the one-year U.S. interest rate is equal to 8 percent, whereas Mexico’s one-year interest rate is equal to 10 percent. Today the two-year annualized U.S. interest rate is equal to 11 percent, whereas the two
> Assume that interest rate parity exists, and that it will continue to exist in the future. Assume that interest rates of the United States and the United Kingdom vary substantially in many periods. You expect that interest rates at the beginning of each
> Purdue Co. (based in the United States) exports cable wire to Australian manufacturers. It invoices its product in U.S. dollars and will not change its price over the next year. There is intense competition between Purdue and the local cable wire produce
> The Sports Exports Company produces footballs in the United States and exports them to the United Kingdom. It also has an ongoing joint venture with a British firm that produces some sporting goods for a fee. The Sports Exports Company is considering the
> New York Co. has agreed to pay 10 million Australian dollars (A$) in two years for equipment that it is importing from Australia. The spot rate of the Australian dollar is $0.60. The annualized U.S. interest rate is 4 percent, regardless of the debt matu
> For all parts of this question, assume that interest rate parity exists, that the prevailing one-year U.S. nominal interest rate is low, and that you expect U.S. inflation to be low this year. a. Assume that the country Dinland engages in much trade wit
> Bolivia currently has a nominal one-year risk-free interest rate of 40 percent, which is primarily due to the high level of expected inflation. The U.S. nominal one-year risk-free interest rate is 8 percent. The spot rate of Bolivia’s currency (called th
> The value of each Latin American currency relative to the dollar is dictated by supply and demand conditions between that currency and the dollar. The values of Latin American currencies have generally declined substantially against the dollar over time.
> The treasurer of Glencoe, Inc., detected a forecast bias when using the 30-day forward rate of the euro to forecast future spot rates of the euro over various periods. He believes he can use this information to determine whether imports ordered every wee
> The September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks on the United States were quickly followed by lower interest rates in the United States. How would this affect a fundamental forecast of foreign currencies? How would this affect the forward rate forecast of fore
> You must determine whether there is a forecast bias in the forward rate. You apply regression analysis to test the relationship between the actual spot rate and the forward rate forecast (F ): The regression results are as follows Based on these results
> Explain the technical approach to forecasting exchange rates. What are some limitations of using technical forecasting to predict these rates?
> Assume that the following regression model was applied to historical quarterly data: Assume that the regression coefficients were estimated as follows: Also assume that the inflation differential in the most recent period was 3 percent. The real intere
> Assume that the forward rate is an unbiased but not necessarily accurate forecast of the future exchange rate of the yen over the next several years. Based on this information, do you think Raven Co. should hedge its remittance of expected Japanese yen p
> Recently, Ben Holt, Blades’ chief financial officer, has assessed whether it would be more beneficial for Blades to establish a subsidiary in Thailand to manufacture roller blades or to acquire an existing manufacturer, Skates’n’Stuff, which has offered
> You believe that the Singapore dollar’s exchange rate movements are mostly attributable to purchasing power parity. Today the nominal annual interest rate in Singapore is 18 percent, compared to 3 percent in the United States. You expect that annual infl
> Assume that you obtain a quote for a one-year forward rate on the Mexican peso. Assume that Mexico’s one-year interest rate is 40 percent, whereas the U.S. one-year interest rate is 7 percent. Over the next year, the peso depreciates by 12 percent. Do yo
> Cooper, Inc., a U.S.- based MNC, periodically obtains euros to purchase German products. It assesses U.S. and German trade patterns and inflation rates to develop a fundamental forecast for the euro. How could Cooper potentially improve its method of fun
> Royce Co. is a U.S. firm with future receivables one year from now denominated in Canadian dollars and British pounds. Its pound receivables are known with certainty, but its estimated Canadian dollar receivables are subject to a 2 percent error in eithe
> When some countries in Eastern Europe initially allowed their currencies to fluctuate against the dollar, would the fundamental technique based on historical relationships have been useful for forecasting future exchange rates of these currencies? Explai
> The director of currency forecasting at Champaign-Urbana Corp. says, “The most critical task of forecasting exchange rates is not to derive a point estimate of a future exchange rate, but rather to assess how wrong our estimate might be.” What does this
> Assume that foreign exchange markets were found to be weak-form efficient. What does this suggest about utilizing technical analysis to speculate in euros? If MNCs believe that foreign exchange markets are semi strong-form efficient, why would they devel
> Assume that the four-year annualized interest rate in the United States is 9 percent and the four-year annualized interest rate in Singapore is 6 percent. Assume interest rate parity holds for a four-year horizon. Assume that the spot rate of the Singapo
> Explain corporate motives for forecasting exchange rates.
> One assumption made in developing the IFE is that all investors in all countries have the same real interest rate. What does this mean?
> The Sports Exports Company has been successful in producing footballs in the United States and exporting them to the United Kingdom. Recently, Jim Logan, the owner of the Sports Exports Company, has considered restructuring his company by expanding throu
> During the Asian crisis, direct intervention did not prevent depreciation of currencies. Offer your explanation for why the interventions did not work.
> Compare and contrast interest rate parity (discussed in Chapter 7), PPP, and the IFE.
> Assume U.S. interest rates are generally higher than foreign interest rates. What does this suggest about the future strength or weakness of the dollar based on the IFE? Should U.S. investors invest in foreign securities if they believe in the IFE? Shoul
> Explain the international Fisher effect (IFE). What is the rationale for the existence of the IFE? What are the implications of the IFE for firms with excess cash that consistently invest in foreign Treasury bills? Explain why the IFE may not hold.
> Explain why PPP does not hold.
> The United States has expected inflation of 2 percent, whereas Country A, Country B, and Country C have expected inflation of 7 percent. Country A engages in much international trade with the United States. The products that are traded between Country A
> Investors based in the United States can earn 11 percent interest on a oneyear bank deposit in Argentina (with no default risk) or 2 percent on a one-year bank deposit in the United States (with no default risk). Assess the following statement: “Accordin
> You believe that the future value of the Australian dollar will be determined by purchasing power parity. You expect that inflation in Australia will be 6 percent next year, whereas inflation in the United States will be 2 percent next year. Today the sp
> The one-year Treasury (risk-free) interest rate in the United States is presently 6 percent, whereas the one-year Treasury interest rate in Switzerland is 13 percent. The spot rate of the Swiss franc is $0.80. Assume that you believe in the international
> Assume that you believe exchange rate movements are mostly driven by purchasing power parity. The United States and Canada presently have the same nominal (quoted) interest rate. The central bank of Canada just made an announcement that causes you to rev
> Assume that you believe purchasing power parity exists. You expect that inflation in Canada during the next year will be 3 percent and inflation in the United States will be 8 percent. Today the spot rate of the Canadian dollar is $0.90 and the one-year
> Recall that Ben Holt, Blades’ chief financial officer (CFO), has suggested to the board of directors that Blades proceed with the establishment of a subsidiary in Thailand. Due to the high growth potential of the roller blades market in Thailand, his ana
> 1 million euros in one year from selling exports. It did not hedge this future transaction. Boston believes that the future value of the euro will be determined by purchasing power parity (PPP). It expects that inflation in countries using the euro will
> Assume the value of the Hong Kong dollar (HK$) is tied to the U.S. dollar and will remain tied to the U.S. dollar. Assume that interest rate parity exists. Today, an Australian dollar (A$) is worth $0.50 and HK$3.9. The one-year interest rate on the Aust
> Inflation differentials between the United States and other industrialized countries have typically been a few percentage points in any given year. Yet, in many years annual exchange rates between the corresponding currencies have changed by 10 percent o
> The nominal (quoted) U.S. one-year interest rate is 6 percent, whereas the nominal one-year interest rate in Canada is 5 percent. Assume you believe in purchasing power parity. You believe that the real one-year interest rate is 2 percent in the United S
> The United States and the country of Rueland have the same real interest rate of 3 percent. The expected inflation over the next year is 6 percent in the United States versus 21 percent in Rueland. Interest rate parity exists. The one-year currency futur
> Today, a U.S. dollar can be exchanged for three New Zealand dollars. The one-year CD (deposit) rate in New Zealand is 7 percent, and the one-year CD rate in the United States is 6 percent. Interest rate parity exists between the United States and New Zea