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Question: So far at your new job, you


So far at your new job, you have landed nine sales contracts with an average price of $3,782 and a standard deviation of $1,290.
a. Identify a reasonable idealized population that this sample represents.
b. If the distribution of sales prices is heavily skewed, would it be appropriate to construct the usual two sided 95% confidence interval? Why or why not?
c. Assume now that the distribution of sales prices is only slightly skewed and not too different from a normal distribution. Compute the usual two-sided 95% confidence interval, and interpret it carefully in terms of your long-term prospects at this job. Be sure to address both the useful information and the limitations of the confidence interval in this situation.
d. Find the two-sided 90% prediction interval for the sales price of the next contract you land, assuming that conditions will remain essentially unchanged.


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> Your Detroit division produced 135 defective parts out of the total production of 983 last week. The Kansas City division produced 104 defectives out of 1,085 produced during the same time period. a. Find the percent defective for each division and compa

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> A group of experts has rated your winery’s two best varietals. Ratings are on a scale from 1 to 20, with higher numbers being better. The results are shown in Table 10.7.6. a. Is this a paired or unpaired situation? Why? b. Find the ave

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> Stress levels were recorded during a true answer and a false answer given by each of six people in a study of lie detecting equipment, based on the idea that the stress involved in telling a lie can be measured. The results are shown in Table 10.7.5. a.

> Why do firms change ownership? One possible reason for acquisitions is that the new owners expect to be able to manage the operations more efficiently than the current management. This theory leads to testable hypotheses. For example, it predicts that pr

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> Your broker achieved a rate of return of 18.3% on your portfolio last year. For a sample of 25 other brokers in the area, according to a recent news article, the average rate of return was 15.2% with a standard deviation of 3.2% (as percentage points). a

> World investments markets were highly volatile in 1998. Table 10.7.4 shows one-year rates of return on closed end mutual funds that specialize in in come from international sources. a. Do the rates of return of these closed-end world income funds, as a g

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> Do employees take more sick leave in the year before retirement? They may well have an incentive to do so if their accumulated paid sick leave (the number of days they are entitled to be away with full pay) is about to expire. Indeed, this appears to hap

> Dishwasher detergent is packaged in containers that claim a weight of 24 ounces. Although there is some variation from one package to another, your policy is to ensure that the mean weight for each day’s production is slightly over 24 ounces. A random sa

> You are supervising an audit to decide whether or not any errors in the recording of account transactions are “material errors.” Each account has a reported balance, whose accuracy can be verified only by careful and costly investigation; the account’s e

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> Managers perceived employee stock ownership as having a significant positive effect on product quality. As part of that same study, managers were also asked to rate the effect of employee stock ownership on unit labor cost.24 This effect, on a scale from

> Part of the assembly line will need adjusting if the consistency of the injected plastic becomes either too viscous or not viscous enough as compared with a value (56.00) your engineers consider reasonable. You will decide to adjust only if you are convi

> A recent poll of 1,423 randomly sampled likely voters shows your favorite candidate ahead, with 51.93% in favor. There are two candidates. Use hypothesis testing to infer to the larger group of all likely voters to see whether or not this indicates that

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> Consider the dollar value (in thousands) of gifts returned to each of your department stores after the holiday season (Table 10.7.2): a. Compute the standard deviation. b. Interpret the standard deviation as a measure of the variation from one store to a

> Some frozen food dinners were randomly selected from this week’s production and destroyed in order to measure their actual calorie content. The claimed calorie content is 200. Here are the calorie counts for each dinner: 221, 198, 203, 223, 196, 202, 219

> Although your product, a word game, has a list price of $12.95, each stories free to set the price as it wishes. You have just completed a quick survey, and the marked prices at a random sample of stores that sell the product were as follows: $12.95, 9.9

> You work for a company that prepares and distributes frozen foods. The package claims a net weight of 14.5 ounces. A random sample of today’s production was weighed, producing the following data set: 14.43, 14.37, 14.38, 14.29, 14.60, 14.45, 14.16, 14.52

> You are considering a new delivery system and wish to test whether delivery times are significantly different, on average, than your current system. It is well established that the mean delivery time of the current system is 2.38 days. A test of the new

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> a. Perform a two-sided test at the 1% significance level for the previous problem and describe the result. b. State the p-value as either p>0.05, p

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> a. Why might a one-sided test be appropriate for the preceding problem? b. Identify the null and research hypotheses for a one sided test, using both words and mathematical symbols. c. Perform a one-sided test at the 5% significance level and describe th

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> If the list price of the Eureka 4750A Bagged Upright Vacuum cleaner is $79.99, is the average price, based on the data from Table 9.6.1, significantly different from a 10% discount? Table 9.6.1: TABLE 9.6.1 Prices of the Eureka 4750A Bagged Upright

> Suppose that the target response rate was 4% when the current mailing was sent to the 20,000 people in the donations database on the companion site. a. Find the actual response rate represented by the 989 donations received in response to this mailing to

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> Consider the quality scores measured for a random sample of agricultural produce: 16:7,17:9,23:5,13:8,15:9,15:2,12:9,15:7 a. Find the 95% confidence interval for the population mean quality. b. Find the 95% prediction interval for the quality of the next

> A random sample of 50 recent patient records at a clinic shows that the average billing per visit was $53.01 and the standard deviation was $16.48. a. Find the 95% confidence interval for the mean and interpret it. b. Find the 99% confidence interval. c.

> Do you agree that drawing a second sample was a good idea?

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> Should you lease or not?

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> View the 20,000 people represented in the donations database (on the companion site) as a sample from a much larger population. Of these 20,000 people, 989 made a donation in response to the current mailing. a. Find the 95% confidence interval for the po

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> Theaccountsofafirmhavebeenclassifiedinto56large accounts, 956 medium-sized accounts, and 16,246 small accounts. Each account has a book value (which is provided to you) representing the amount of money that is supposed to be in the account. Each account

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> How much money would you make if there were no costs of extraction? Would this be enough to retire?

> Consider the profits as a percent of revenue for a group of companies involved in petroleum and/or mining, as shown in Table 8.6.2. a. Construct a sampling frame, viewing this list as a population of large petroleum and/or mining-related firms. b. Draw a

> You have a factory with 40 production machines that are essentially identical, each producing a tame an daily rate of100productswithastandarddeviationof15.Youmay assume that they produce independently of one another. Consider the average daily production

> Yourrestaurantwillserve50dinnergroupstonight.Assume that the mean check size of dinner groups in general is $60, the standard deviation is $40, and the distribution is slightly skewed with a longer tail toward high values. a. Find the mean and standard d

> At a medical clinic, patient office visits are found to last a mean time of 17 min, with a standard deviation of 10 min. Assume that the probability distribution of time is independent from one patient to another. a. What is the approximate probability t

> Your automatic transmission factory has had some problems with quality. You have decided to gather information from tomorrow’s production for careful evaluation. For each of the following sampling methods, say if the procedure is good, acceptable, or unr

> You can invest in just one of four projects on a lot of land you own. For simplicity, you have modeled the payoffs (as net present value in today’s dollars) of the projects as discrete distributions. By selling the land, you can make $60,000 for sure. If

> Your company is hoping to fill a key technical position and has advertised in hopes of obtaining qualified applicants. Because of the demanding qualifications, the pool of qualified people is limited and Table 7.6.3 shows your subjective probabilities fo

> A TV system is expected to last for 50,000 hours before failure. Assume an exponential distribution for the time until failure. a. Is the distribution skewed or symmetric? b. What is the standard deviation of the length of time until failure? c. The syst

> In order to earn enough to pay your firm’s debt this year, you will need to be awarded at least two contracts. This is not usually a problem, since the yearly average is 5.1 contracts. You may assume a Poisson distribution. a. Find the probability that y

> You are planning to interview 350 consumers randomly selected from a large list of likely sales prospects, in order to assess the value of this list and whether you should assign salespeople the task of contacting them all. Assuming that 13% of the large

> Should you recommend that Wallace start looking for another job? If not, what do you suggest?

> A manufacturing process produces semiconductor chips with a known failure rate of 6.3%. Assume that chip failures are independent of one another. You will be producing 2,000 chips tomorrow. a. What is the name of the probability distribution of the numbe

> The length of time a system is “down” (ie, broken) is described(approximately) by the probability distribution in Table 7.6.2. Assume that these downtimes are exact. That is, there are three types of easily recognized

> Your firm has decided to interview a random sample of 10 customers in order to determine whether or not to change a consumer product. Your main competitor has already done a similar but much larger study and has concluded that exactly 86% of consumers ap

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> Suppose that 8% of the loans you authorize as vice president of the consumer loan division of a neighborhood bank will never be repaid. Assume further that you authorized 284 loans last year and that loans go sour independently of one another. a. How man

> Your quality control manager has identified the four major problems, the extent to which each one occurs (ie, the probability that this problem occurs per item produced), and the cost of reworking to fix each one (see Table 7.6.5). Assume that only one p

> A call option on common stock is being evaluated. If the stock goes down, the option will expire worthless. If the stock goes up, the payoff depends on just how high the stock goes. For simplicity, the payoffs are modeled as a discrete distribution with

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> Suppose two events are independent. One event has probability 0.27, while the other has probability 0.64. a. Find the probability that both events happen. b. Find the probability of the union of these events. c. Find the probability that neither event ha

> You are in the process of assessing your firm’s online marketing strategy, and would like to know whether visitors to your Website who arrive from a search engine ad (after searching for your firm’s products) are more or are less likely to make a purchas

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> As part of an assessment of the role of organized activities for your user base, you have compiled the following facts regarding attendance at the most recent User Conference and subsequent software license renewal. The universe you a restudying consists

> Do studies have an impact on future activities in society? A study of New Jersey adults found that those who studied civics in school were more likely to vote in a recent election.17 Specifically, 55.0% studied civics in school. Of those who studied civi

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> You have just put in a bid for a large communications network. According to your best information you figure there is a 35% chance that your competitors will outbid you. If they do outbid you, you figure you still have a 10% chance of getting the contrac

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